Spatial and Temporal Association of Outbreaks of H5N1 Influenza Virus Infection in Wild Birds with the 0°C Isotherm

English version České info

Wild bird movements and aggregations following spells of cold weather may have resulted in the spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (HPAIV) H5N1 in Europe during the winter of 2005–2006. Waterbirds are constrained in winter to areas where bodies of water remain unfrozen in order to feed. On the one hand, waterbirds may choose to winter as close as possible to their breeding grounds in order to conserve energy for subsequent reproduction, and may be displaced by cold fronts. On the other hand, waterbirds may choose to winter in regions where adverse weather conditions are rare, and may be slowed by cold fronts upon their journey back to the breeding grounds, which typically starts before the end of winter. Waterbirds will thus tend to aggregate along cold fronts close to the 0°C isotherm during winter, creating conditions that favour HPAIV H5N1 transmission and spread. We determined that the occurrence of outbreaks of HPAIV H5N1 infection in waterbirds in Europe during the winter of 2005–2006 was associated with temperatures close to 0°C. The analysis suggests a significant spatial and temporal association of outbreaks caused by HPAIV H5N1 in wild birds with maximum surface air temperatures of 0°C–2°C on the day of the outbreaks and the two preceding days. At locations where waterbird census data have been collected since 1990, maximum mallard counts occurred when average and maximum surface air temperatures were 0°C and 3°C, respectively. Overall, the abundance of mallards (Anas platyrhynchos) and common pochards (Aythya ferina) was highest when surface air temperatures were lower than the mean temperatures of the region investigated. The analysis implies that waterbird movements associated with cold weather, and congregation of waterbirds along the 0°C isotherm likely contributed to the spread and geographical distribution of outbreaks of HPAIV H5N1 infection in wild birds in Europe during the winter of 2005–2006.

Vyšlo v časopise: Spatial and Temporal Association of Outbreaks of H5N1 Influenza Virus Infection in Wild Birds with the 0°C Isotherm. PLoS Pathog 6(4): e32767. doi:10.1371/journal.ppat.1000854
Kategorie: Research Article
prolekare.web.journal.doi_sk: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.ppat.1000854

Souhrn

Zdroje

1. KilpatrickAM

ChmuraAA

GibbonsDW

FleischerRC

MarraPP

2006 Predicting the global spread of H5N1 avian influenza. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 103 19368 19373

2. Gauthier-ClercM

LebarbenchonC

ThomasF

2007 Recent expansion of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1: a critical review. Ibis 149 202 214

3. GilbertM

XiaoX

DomenechJ

LubrothJ

MartinV

2006 Anatidae migration in the western Palearctic and spread of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 virus. Emerg Infect Dis 12 1650 1656

4. HarsJ

RuetteS

BenmerguiM

FouqueC

FournierJY

2008 The epidemiology of the highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza in Mute Swan (Cygnus olor) and other Anatidae in the Dombes region (France), 2006. J Wildl Dis 44 811 823

5. GlobigA

StaubachC

BeerM

KöppenU

FiedlerW

2009 Epidemiological and Ornithological Aspects of Outbreaks of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus H5N1 of Asian Lineage in Wild Birds in Germany, 2006 and 2007. Transboundary and Emerging Diseases 56 57 72

6. WeberTP

StilianakisNI

2007 Ecologic immunology of avian influenza (H5N1) in migratory birds. Emerg Infect Dis 13 1139 1143

7. BrownJD

StallknechtDE

SwayneD

2008 Experimental infection of swans and geese with highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (H5N1) of Asian lineage. Emerg Infect Dis 14 136 142

8. KeawcharoenJ

van RielD

van AmerongenG

BestebroerT

BeyerWE

2008 Wild ducks as long-distance vectors of highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (H5N1). Emerg Infect Dis 14 600 607

9. KalthoffD

BreithauptA

TeifkeJP

GlobigA

HarderT

2008 Highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (H5N1) in experimentally infected adult mute swans. Emerg Infect Dis 14 1267 1270

10. ScottDA

RosePM

1996 Atlas of Anatidae Populations in Africa and Western Eurasia Wageningen, the Netherlands Wetlands International 336

11. AlerstamT

1990 Bird migration Cambridge University Press 428

12. MooijWM

HülsmannS

De Senerpont DomisLN

NoletBA

BodelierPLE

2005 The impact of climate change on lakes in the Netherlands: a review. Aquatic Ecology 39 381 400

13. VaitkusG

1999 Spatial dynamics of wintering seabird populations in the Baltic Proper: a review of factors and adaptations. Acta Zoologica Lituanica 9 126 141

14. KellerI

Korner-NievergeltF

JenniL

2009 Within-winter movements: a common phenomenon in the common pochards Aythya ferina. Journal of Ornithology 150 483 494

15. AlerstamT

HögstedtG

1980 Spring Predictability and Leap-Frog Migration. Ornis Scandinavica 11 196 200

16. RugerA

PrenticeC

OwenM

1986 Results of the IWRB International Waterfowl Census 1967–1983 Slimbridge, UK

17. LebarbenchonC

AlbespyF

BrochetAL

GrandhommeV

RenaudF

2009 Spread of avian influenza viruses by common teal (Anas crecca) in Europe. PLoS ONE 4 e7289 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0007289

18. PittmanM

LaddomadaA

FreigofasR

PiazzaV

BrouwA

2007 Surveillance, prevention, and disease management of avian influenza in the European Union. Journal of Wildlife Diseases 43 S64 S70

19. NilssonL

1972 Habitat Selection, Food Choice, and Feeding Habits of Diving Ducks in Coastal Waters of South Sweden during the Non-Breeding Season. Ornis Scandinavica 3 55 78

20. SlonoskyVC

JonesPD

DaviesTD

2001 Atmospheric circulation and surface temperature in Europe from the 18th century to 1995. International Journal of Climatology 21 63 75

21. BrownJD

GoekjianG

PoulsonR

ValeikaS

StallknechtDE

2009 Avian influenza virus in water: infectivity is dependent on pH, salinity and temperature. Vet Microbiol 136 20 26

22. StallknechtDE

BrownJD

2009 Tenacity of avian influenza viruses. Rev Sci Tech 28 59 67

23. BrebanR

DrakeJM

StallknechtDE

RohaniP

2009 The role of environmental transmission in recurrent avian influenza epidemics. PLoS Comput Biol 5 e1000346 doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1000346

24. RocheB

LebarbenchonC

Gauthier-ClercM

ChangCM

ThomasF

2009 Water-borne transmission drives avian influenza dynamics in wild birds: the case of the 2005–2006 epidemics in the Camargue area. Infect Genet Evol 9 800 805

25. RohaniP

BrebanR

StallknechtDE

DrakeJM

2009 Environmental transmission of low pathogenicity avian influenza viruses and its implications for pathogen invasion. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 106 10365 10369

26. BrownJD

SwayneDE

CooperRJ

BurnsRE

StallknechtDE

2007 Persistence of H5 and H7 avian influenza viruses in water. Avian Dis 51 285 289

27. MunsterVJ

BaasC

LexmondP

BestebroerTM

GuldemeesterJ

2009 Practical considerations for high-throughput influenza A virus surveillance studies of wild birds by use of molecular diagnostic tests. J Clin Microbiol 47 666 673

28. ZhangG

ShohamD

GilichinskyD

DavydovS

CastelloJD

2006 Evidence of influenza a virus RNA in siberian lake ice. J Virol 80 12229 12235

29. van GilsJA

MunsterVJ

RadersmaR

LiefhebberD

FouchierRA

2007 Hampered foraging and migratory performance in swans infected with low-pathogenic avian influenza a virus. PLoS ONE 2 e184 doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0000184

30. Latorre-MargalefN

GunnarssonG

MunsterVJ

FouchierRAM

OsterhausADME

2009 Effects of influenza A virus infection on migrating mallard ducks. Proc R Soc B 276 1029 1036

31. OIE 2009 Update on highly pathogenic avian influenza in animals (type H5 and H7). Office International des Epizooties, www.oie.int

32. AtkinsonPW

ClarkJA

DelanyS

DiaganaCH

FeuCd

2006 346 Urgent preliminary assessment of ornithological data relevant to the spread of Avian Influenza in Europe; Delany S, Veen J, Clark J, editors: Wetlands International & EURING

33. DelanyS

2005 Guidelines for national coordinators of the International Waterbird Census (IWC) Wetlands International 15

34. KanamitsuM

EbisuzakiW

WoollenJ

YangSK

HniloJJ

2002 NCEP-DOE AMIP-II Reanalysis (R-2). Bull Amer Meteor Soc 83

35. R_Development_Core_Team 2009 R: a language and environment for statistical computing Vienna R Foundation for Statistical Computing